Brentford · Forward · 25 · joined 2024

Thiago

Igor Thiago Nascimento Rodrigues

Price
£7.8m
Owned
9%
This season
10 pts
Projected next2.5 ptsOur xP for the upcoming fixture
Return chance46%Goal or assist
DefCon6%Chance of the 2 defensive-contribution points
Value1.3 pts/£mThis season's points per million so far
Rotation risk87%1 − blended start share (this season when enough, else last)

Set pieces

Straight from the official API. First choice on penalties is worth roughly 0.15-0.2 points a game before anything else happens.

Profile

Percentile against other forwards - the only fair comparison.

Threat146Creativity44Influence49Points/game2.0Value1.3Form2.5

Per 90 minutes

Rates from this season

xG per 90

Expected goals

0.64
xA per 90

Expected assists

0.03
xGI per 90

Goals + assists expected

0.67
DefCon per 90

CBIT, plus recoveries for MID and FWD

3.87
xGC per 90

Expected goals conceded while on the pitch

1.27
Clean sheets per 90

Rate, not total

0.41
BPS per 90

Bonus point system score

7.53

Finishing vs expectation

Scoring 2.1 goals below expectation. The underlying numbers say the returns are owed, not absent.

Next 6 gameweeks

Thiago's run - 15.4 ptsprojected across 6 fixtures. Cell colour is difficulty; bar height is our projection.

Price and demand

Price now

Started at £8.0m

£7.8m
Change so far

5.6% of the way to the next move

-0.2m
Demand pressure

−1 falling, +1 rising. Thin pre-season, before transfer traffic starts.

+0.20
Ownership rank

9% of squads

#41
Net transfers

40,735 in, 27,113 out

+13,622

Our number vs FPL's

FPList

2.5

+0.0

FPL's own

2.5

FPL publishes its own expected points. We show both, because a model that never beats the free one built into the game has earned nothing. Which of us is closer is settled on the report card, not here.

Rank among forwards

79 players share this position.

Points per game

2.0 per appearance

29 of 79
Threat

Goal route

6 of 79
Creativity

Assist route

15 of 79
Influence

Overall involvement

15 of 79
ICT index

The three combined

11 of 79
Value

Points per £m, all positions

#14 overall

Role and routes, per 90

Season totals reward playing time as much as quality. These are rates - FPL publishes only the totals.

Threat / 90

Shot volume and quality of position

29.7
Creativity / 90

Chance creation

8.9
Influence / 90

Match-affecting actions

9.9

This season, so far

Counting totals from the current Premier League season. Tackles and clearances/blocks/interceptions are FPL match counts; creativity and threat are FPL’s chance-creation and shot-threat scores (raw chance and shot counts are not in the free API).

Minutes
442
Starts
5
Goals
1
Assists
0
Tackles
3
Clearances / blocks / ints
4
Creativity (chances)
44
Threat (shots)
146
Clean sheets
2
Goals conceded
4
Saves
0
Bonus
0
BPS
37
ICT index
23.6
Yellow cards
2
Red cards
0
Own goals
0
Penalties missed
1
Penalties saved
0

Projections and probabilities are ours, from deterministic code over public FPL data. Counting totals above are this season's; per-90 rates say which season they came from. Not a guarantee. FPList is not affiliated with the Premier League or Fantasy Premier League.