Match climateiBoth sides' expected goals added together, banded low / medium / high.

Medium

2.8 expected goals in total

• 0–123%
• 2–346%
• 4+31%

Both teams' expected goals added together, then split into 0-1, 2-3, and 4+ total goals.

Clean sheetsie^-λ on the goals we expect the opponent to score. The same number the goalkeeper's card publishes.

• CRY20%
• LIV30%

Matches the goalkeepers' cards by construction.

Teams to scorei1 - e^-λ on the goals we expect that side to score.

Both to score: 56%iChance each side scores at least once, multiplied — goals assumed independent.

CRY · anytime attacking returniThe player's expected goal involvements per 90, scaled by expected minutes and fixture difficulty.

• Yeremy · probable32%goal 17% · assist 18%iThat same rate split by the player's season xG:xA share, so neither can exceed the return.

  	≥1	1	2+	Likely
  Goals	17%	15%	1%	none
  Assists	18%	17%	2%	none

• Wharton · probable26%goal 5% · assist 22%iThat same rate split by the player's season xG:xA share, so neither can exceed the return.

  	≥1	1	2+	Likely
  Goals	5%	5%	0%	none
  Assists	22%	19%	3%	none

• Strand Larsen · probable22%goal 21% · assist 2%iThat same rate split by the player's season xG:xA share, so neither can exceed the return.

  	≥1	1	2+	Likely
  Goals	21%	18%	2%	none
  Assists	2%	2%	0%	none

LIV · anytime attacking returniThe player's expected goal involvements per 90, scaled by expected minutes and fixture difficulty.

• Ngumoha · rotation risk42%goal 34% · assist 13%iThat same rate split by the player's season xG:xA share, so neither can exceed the return.

  	≥1	1	2+	Likely
  Goals	34%	27%	6%	none
  Assists	13%	12%	1%	none

• Gakpo · likely starter35%goal 11% · assist 27%iThat same rate split by the player's season xG:xA share, so neither can exceed the return.

  	≥1	1	2+	Likely
  Goals	11%	10%	1%	none
  Assists	27%	23%	4%	none

• Wirtz · probable34%goal 25% · assist 12%iThat same rate split by the player's season xG:xA share, so neither can exceed the return.

  	≥1	1	2+	Likely
  Goals	25%	22%	3%	none
  Assists	12%	11%	1%	none