Nott'm Forest · Defender · 24 · joined 2023

Murillo

Murillo Costa dos Santos

Price
£5.5m
Owned
2.1%
This season
23 pts
Projected next3.6 ptsOur xP for the upcoming fixture
Return chance46%Goal, assist, or clean sheet
Clean sheet37%From the club's expected goals conceded
DefCon43%Chance of the 2 defensive-contribution points
Value4.2 pts/£mThis season's points per million so far
Rotation risk87%1 − blended start share (this season when enough, else last)

Set pieces

Straight from the official API. First choice on penalties is worth roughly 0.15-0.2 points a game before anything else happens.

Profile

Percentile against other defenders - the only fair comparison.

Threat27Creativity63Influence124Points/game4.6Value4.2Form4.8

Per 90 minutes

Rates from this season

DefCon per 90

CBIT, plus recoveries for MID and FWD

10.62
xGC per 90

Expected goals conceded while on the pitch

0.96
Clean sheets per 90

Rate, not total

0.20
xG per 90

Expected goals

0.08
xA per 90

Expected assists

0.07
xGI per 90

Goals + assists expected

0.15
BPS per 90

Bonus point system score

15.23

Finishing vs expectation

Finishing within 0.4 of expectation - output and process broadly agree.

Next 6 gameweeks

Murillo's run - 21.3 ptsprojected across 6 fixtures. Cell colour is difficulty; bar height is our projection.

Price and demand

Price now

Started at £5.5m

£5.5m
Change so far

22.2% of the way to the next move

+0.0m
Demand pressure

−1 falling, +1 rising. Thin pre-season, before transfer traffic starts.

+0.02
Ownership rank

2.1% of squads

#125
Net transfers

5,774 in, 5,578 out

+196

Our number vs FPL's

FPList

3.6

-1.2

FPL's own

4.8

FPL publishes its own expected points. We show both, because a model that never beats the free one built into the game has earned nothing. Which of us is closer is settled on the report card, not here.

Rank among defenders

217 players share this position.

Points per game

4.6 per appearance

33 of 217
Threat

Goal route

48 of 217
Creativity

Assist route

18 of 217
Influence

Overall involvement

17 of 217
ICT index

The three combined

21 of 217
Value

Points per £m, all positions

#163 overall

Role and routes, per 90

Season totals reward playing time as much as quality. These are rates - FPL publishes only the totals.

Threat / 90

Shot volume and quality of position

5.4
Creativity / 90

Chance creation

12.6
Influence / 90

Match-affecting actions

24.9

This season, so far

Counting totals from the current Premier League season. Tackles and clearances/blocks/interceptions are FPL match counts; creativity and threat are FPL’s chance-creation and shot-threat scores (raw chance and shot counts are not in the free API).

Minutes
449
Starts
5
Goals
0
Assists
1
Tackles
9
Clearances / blocks / ints
44
Creativity (chances)
63
Threat (shots)
27
Clean sheets
1
Goals conceded
5
Saves
0
Bonus
0
BPS
76
ICT index
21.4
Yellow cards
1
Red cards
0
Own goals
0
Penalties missed
0
Penalties saved
0

Projections and probabilities are ours, from deterministic code over public FPL data. Counting totals above are this season's; per-90 rates say which season they came from. Not a guarantee. FPList is not affiliated with the Premier League or Fantasy Premier League.