Nott'm Forest · Defender · 24 · joined 2023

Murillo

Murillo Costa dos Santos

Price
£5.5m
Owned
2%
This season
35 pts
Projected next2.9 ptsOur xP for the upcoming fixture
Return chance41%Goal, assist, or clean sheet
Clean sheet29%From the club's expected goals conceded
DefCon52%Chance of the 2 defensive-contribution points
Value6.4 pts/£mThis season's points per million so far
Rotation risk74%1 − blended start share (this season when enough, else last)

Set pieces

Straight from the official API. First choice on penalties is worth roughly 0.15-0.2 points a game before anything else happens.

Profile

Percentile against other defenders - the only fair comparison.

Threat120Creativity92Influence222Points/game3.5Value6.4Form2.4

Per 90 minutes

Rates from this season

DefCon per 90

CBIT, plus recoveries for MID and FWD

10.21
xGC per 90

Expected goals conceded while on the pitch

1.10
Clean sheets per 90

Rate, not total

0.10
xG per 90

Expected goals

0.13
xA per 90

Expected assists

0.07
xGI per 90

Goals + assists expected

0.20
BPS per 90

Bonus point system score

12.11

Finishing vs expectation

Finishing within 1.3 of expectation - output and process broadly agree.

Next 6 gameweeks

Murillo's run - 18.8 ptsprojected across 6 fixtures. Cell colour is difficulty; bar height is our projection.

Price and demand

Price now

Started at £5.5m

£5.5m
Change so far

15.4% of the way to the next move

+0.0m
Demand pressure

−1 falling, +1 rising. Thin pre-season, before transfer traffic starts.

-0.13
Ownership rank

2% of squads

#131
Net transfers

803 in, 1,041 out

-238

Our number vs FPL's

FPList

2.9

+0.5

FPL's own

2.4

FPL publishes its own expected points. We show both, because a model that never beats the free one built into the game has earned nothing. Which of us is closer is settled on the report card, not here.

Rank among defenders

218 players share this position.

Points per game

3.5 per appearance

51 of 218
Threat

Goal route

8 of 218
Creativity

Assist route

24 of 218
Influence

Overall involvement

11 of 218
ICT index

The three combined

9 of 218
Value

Points per £m, all positions

#155 overall

Role and routes, per 90

Season totals reward playing time as much as quality. These are rates - FPL publishes only the totals.

Threat / 90

Shot volume and quality of position

12.0
Creativity / 90

Chance creation

9.2
Influence / 90

Match-affecting actions

22.2

This season, so far

Counting totals from the current Premier League season. Tackles and clearances/blocks/interceptions are FPL match counts; creativity and threat are FPL’s chance-creation and shot-threat scores (raw chance and shot counts are not in the free API).

Minutes
899
Starts
10
Goals
0
Assists
1
Tackles
23
Clearances / blocks / ints
79
Creativity (chances)
92
Threat (shots)
120
Clean sheets
1
Goals conceded
13
Saves
0
Bonus
0
BPS
121
ICT index
43.4
Yellow cards
3
Red cards
0
Own goals
0
Penalties missed
0
Penalties saved
0

Projections and probabilities are ours, from deterministic code over public FPL data. Counting totals above are this season's; per-90 rates say which season they came from. Not a guarantee. FPList is not affiliated with the Premier League or Fantasy Premier League.