FPList - Coventry City vs Fulham

Coventry CityvsFulham

Saturday 24 October at 14:002difficulty for COV2difficulty for FUL

Best pick of the match

Top projected return

Awoniyi

COV · Forward · Home

Projected

3.9 pts

Price

£5.5m

Owned

0.8%

Fixture

2/5

xG: 0.00
xA: 0.00
DefCon: 4%
Last season: 1 pts

Best by position, across both squads

One name per position, whichever club they play for.

Best Goalkeeper

Leno

FUL · Goalkeeper · Away

Projected

2.8 pts

Price

£4.5m

Owned

Fixture

2/5

Best Defender

Sessegnon

FUL · Defender · Away

Projected

3.5 pts

Price

£4.5m

Owned

0.4%

Fixture

2/5

Best Midfielder

King

FUL · Midfielder · Away

Projected

3.7 pts

Price

£5.5m

Owned

0.6%

Fixture

2/5

Best Forward

Awoniyi

COV · Forward · Home

Projected

3.9 pts

Price

£5.5m

Owned

0.8%

Fixture

2/5

Head to head

COVFUL

Attacking threat
Defensive contribution
Best single return
Squad fitness

Match sheet

Every fixture this gameweek →

FPL projection from our fixture model — the same numbers player cards use, scored in public. Goals by the two sides are treated as independent. That flatters both-to-score in open games and understates it in sieges.Two Poissons: each club's expected goals conceded per 90, stretched by FPL's own fixture difficulty, then every 0-6 scoreline added up.

These are probabilities from our model, not a confirmation and not a betting tip. Football is noisy. We will be wrong. We score ourselves in public.

A full coupon can list 200+ lines for one match. Most of those are the same few questions repeated with extra knobs. We only answer the questions our data can support: result, clean sheets, who scores, who assists, and how many goals the game is likely to contain.

Result projection

COV 26% · draw 24% · FUL 50%

Every scoreline in the 0-6 grid, summed into home / draw / away.

Match climate

Medium

2.9 expected goals in total

0–121%
2–345%
4+34%

Both teams' expected goals added together, then split into 0-1, 2-3, and 4+ total goals.

Clean sheets

COV18%
FUL30%

Matches the goalkeepers' cards by construction.

Teams to score

Club	≥1	Exactly 1	2+	Likely
COV	70%	36%	34%	exactly one
FUL	82%	31%	52%	two or more

Both to score: 57%

COV · anytime attacking return

Awoniyi · rotation risk51%goal 30% · assist 30%
≥1 1 2+ Likely
Goals 30% 25% 5% none
Assists 30% 25% 5% none
Hamer · probable17%goal 9% · assist 9%
≥1 1 2+ Likely
Goals 9% 8% 0% none
Assists 9% 8% 0% none
Tchaouna · rotation risk12%goal 8% · assist 4%
≥1 1 2+ Likely
Goals 8% 8% 0% none
Assists 4% 4% 0% none

	≥1	1	2+	Likely
Goals	30%	25%	5%	none
Assists	30%	25%	5%	none

	≥1	1	2+	Likely
Goals	9%	8%	0%	none
Assists	9%	8%	0%	none

	≥1	1	2+	Likely
Goals	8%	8%	0%	none
Assists	4%	4%	0%	none

FUL · anytime attacking return

Muniz · rotation risk27%goal 27% · assist 0%
≥1 1 2+ Likely
Goals 27% 23% 4% none
Assists 0% 0% 0% none
Smith Rowe · rotation risk23%goal 12% · assist 12%
≥1 1 2+ Likely
Goals 12% 11% 1% none
Assists 12% 11% 1% none
Iwobi · probable22%goal 0% · assist 22%
≥1 1 2+ Likely
Goals 0% 0% 0% none
Assists 22% 19% 3% none

	≥1	1	2+	Likely
Goals	27%	23%	4%	none
Assists	0%	0%	0%	none

	≥1	1	2+	Likely
Goals	12%	11%	1%	none
Assists	12%	11%	1%	none

	≥1	1	2+	Likely
Goals	0%	0%	0%	none
Assists	22%	19%	3%	none

• Probabilities, not odds — same λ as the player cards.
• Player count splits use that model; only fixture-level numbers are scored publicly today.

Top 3 from each squad

Ranked by projected points for this fixture, so the same player can rate differently in a different week.

Coventry City

Pick 1

Awoniyi

COV · Forward · Home

Projected

3.9 pts

Price

£5.5m

Owned

0.8%

Fixture

2/5

Pick 2

Tchaouna

COV · Midfielder · Home

Projected

3.0 pts

Price

£5.5m

Owned

0.2%

Fixture

2/5

Pick 3

Hamer

COV · Midfielder · Home

Projected

2.9 pts

Price

£5.5m

Owned

0.1%

Fixture

2/5

Fulham

Pick 1

King

FUL · Midfielder · Away

Projected

3.7 pts

Price

£5.5m

Owned

0.6%

Fixture

2/5

Pick 2

Sessegnon

FUL · Defender · Away

Projected

3.5 pts

Price

£4.5m

Owned

0.4%

Fixture

2/5

Pick 3

Iwobi

FUL · Midfielder · Away

Projected

3.3 pts

Price

£5.5m

Owned

Fixture

2/5

Also in Gameweek 8

Projections are ours, from deterministic code over public FPL data, and are re-derived against this specific fixture's difficulty - the same player will rate differently in an easier week. Not a guarantee. FPList is not affiliated with the Premier League or Fantasy Premier League.